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PHOTO / TINA FISCHER
From left, panelists at Thursday's MEREDA housing-focused conference included Chris Herbert, Kyle Barker, Chris Marshall and Rebecca Hatfield.
"There’s no silver bullet to solving Maine’s housing shortage," national real estate expert Chris Herbert told a forum in Portland on Thursday. "It requires a buckshot approach."
Herbert, managing director of the Harvard Joint Center for Housing Studies, was the keynote speaker at MEREDA's half-day fall conference held at the University of Southern Maine.
Entitled "The Housing Crisis: Can we Crack the Code?," the event featured industry experts from architects and municipal and regional planners to developers, builders and bankers.
In his remarks, Herbert joked that his organization “is also known as the joint center for gloom and doom.”
His observations — an encyclopedic list of trends, facts and figures for the national and Maine markets, from both a historical and a present-day perspective — were, in fact, somewhat bleak.
In an overview of the national economy, NBT Wealth Management's Kenneth J. Entenmann said that tariffs have been "manageable, because the impact hasn't been fully felt yet," and offered a bullish outlook.
“We’re far from seeing big layoffs and I don’t anticipate a recession," said Entenmann, chief investment officer and chief economist at NBT Wealth Management.
Rental rates are generally far too high for much of the population, Herbert said, preventing many potential buyers from saving for a down payment.
“Affordability is really challenged right now, quite unaffordable for entry-level homebuyers,” Herbert said. “Interest rates and home prices have to come down.”
Middle-income earners — those in the $30,000 to $75,000 bracket — are the most challenged. Millennials who, more than any generation before them, have been slow to attend grad school, get married and have children — and are now finally wanting to purchase a home — are being shut out by lack of inventory, Herbert said.
In Maine, home prices across all types are the most out of reach in Portland. But prices in Lewiston have shot up to the highest level ever recorded, according to Herbert.
And while Maine’s home prices are “a bit better” than those in other states, he said, "that’s like being the best-looking horse in the glue factory.”
A discussion on municipal challenges, moderated by Elizabeth Frazier, partner at Portland-based law firm Pierce Atwood, focused on regulatory constraints.
Panelists Hope Eye with Eastern Maine Development Corp., Vanessa Farr with Bangor-based Haley Ward and Holden Town Manager Benjamin Breadmore all said that municipalities need more money to build infrastructure.
The adoption of LD 1829 in June, which aims to increase building in Maine by permitting greater density, has created challenges, particularly for smaller towns.
“Municipalities can’t do that lift by themselves,” Farr said. “We are asking planning boards, generally made up of lay persons, to do real technical work."
Breadmore agreed.
“Smaller jurisdictions are struggling with not enough time or money," he said. "We need good lawyers to help with local ordinance drafting and we’re seeing a huge decline in municipal attorneys in the state."
Breadmore, Farr and Eye all expressed optimism about more planning assistance starting to come from the newly established Maine Office of Community Affairs.
Emerging approaches to construction that could spur efficiency and speed were also highlighted.
Chris Marshall, development partner with Portland-based GreenMars, said, “Modular units are not always less expensive than ‘stick built,’ but it buys you a lot of time and predictability. We think it’s going to really accelerate our ability to add more housing.”
Hancock Lumber is fabricating customized wall panels and floor and roof trusses that speed construction.
Architect Kyle Barker, founding principal of Dighton, Mass.-based Primary Projects, said that co-housing — small units with shared amenities — could be one solution, along with more designs that can be replicated, to save upfront costs.
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Learn moreThe Giving Guide helps nonprofits have the opportunity to showcase and differentiate their organizations so that businesses better understand how they can contribute to a nonprofit’s mission and work.
Work for ME is a workforce development tool to help Maine’s employers target Maine’s emerging workforce. Work for ME highlights each industry, its impact on Maine’s economy, the jobs available to entry-level workers, the training and education needed to get a career started.
Whether you’re a developer, financer, architect, or industry enthusiast, Groundbreaking Maine is crafted to be your go-to source for valuable insights in Maine’s real estate and construction community.
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