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With the election of Donald Trump to a second term as president, it seems likely that the United States will impose major new tariffs on imported goods and materials.
A tariff is a tax, of course — though not truly a sales tax, as it's been called. For American businesses and consumers, however, the effect could be the same.
Under Trump's plan, businesses would have to pay a tariff of 10% to 20% on anything they import, and as much as 60% on imports from China. Typically, such extra costs get passed along to customers in the form of higher prices.
When other countries retaliate with tariffs of their own on U.S. exports, the impact on prices is compounded.
The Peterson Institute for International Economics, a nonpartisan think tank, issued an analysis in September of what all this could mean.
Among the findings: "Assuming other governments respond in kind, Trump’s 10 percentage point increase results in U.S. real GDP that is 0.9 percent lower than otherwise by 2026, and U.S. inflation rises 1.3 percentage points above baseline in 2025."
With the election of Donald Trump to a second term as president, it seems likely that the United States will impose major new tariffs on imported goods and materials.
A tariff is a tax, of course — though not truly a sales tax, as it's been called. For American businesses and consumers, however, the effect could be the same.
Under Trump's plan, businesses would have to pay a tariff of 10% to 20% on anything they import, and as much as 60% on imports from China. Typically, such extra costs get passed along to customers in the form of higher prices.
When other countries retaliate with tariffs of their own on U.S. exports, the impact on prices is compounded.
The Peterson Institute for International Economics, a nonpartisan think tank, issued an analysis in September of what all this could mean.
Among the findings: "Assuming other governments respond in kind, Trump’s 10 percentage point increase results in U.S. real GDP that is 0.9 percent lower than otherwise by 2026, and U.S. inflation rises 1.3 percentage points above baseline in 2025."
He will likely back off from his more extreme tariff proposals if they start to be significantly harmful.
Been there, done that. It was called Hawley-Smoot. It was an unmitigated economic disaster. Look it up. Just little bits of history repeating; the lesson will be repeated until it is learned.
Where is the "Tariffs would help my business" option??
But I think tariffs are always a bad idea as they impact commerce.
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Learn moreThe Giving Guide helps nonprofits have the opportunity to showcase and differentiate their organizations so that businesses better understand how they can contribute to a nonprofit’s mission and work.
Work for ME is a workforce development tool to help Maine’s employers target Maine’s emerging workforce. Work for ME highlights each industry, its impact on Maine’s economy, the jobs available to entry-level workers, the training and education needed to get a career started.
Whether you’re a developer, financer, architect, or industry enthusiast, Groundbreaking Maine is crafted to be your go-to source for valuable insights in Maine’s real estate and construction community.
Coming June 2025
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The United States is facing a trade deficit of $773,000,000,000. If tariffs help lower our taxes and national debt, while leveling the playing field for US companies against imports from countries that subsidize exports to the US, that would be terrific.