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The first quarter of 2025 gave businesses a lot to think about, with ever-changing trade policies, funding cuts, market volatility and so on. 

J.P. Morgan Research last month put the probability of a recession in 2025 at 60%, up from 40%. It said tariffs — particularly taxes on imports from China — were a "material threat to growth."

While recessions are "inherently unpredictable," says J.P. Morgan's chief global economist, most businesses probably have some sense by now of what's ahead. 

With the second half of the year in sight, Mainebiz wants to get an idea of the mindset of Maine business leaders. 

What's your mid-year economic outlook?
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